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Business
Sign a 3-year commercial lease for a physical location
Mid-term — 6 months to 2 years
Context
The business has been operating from home and a rented desk. A real space would help with credibility, client meetings, and team capacity. But a 3-year lease at $2,800/month is a real fixed commitment — and my revenue still has meaningful month-to-month variance.
Goal
Determine if the business is stable enough to absorb a fixed lease, or if I'm buying a constraint I'm not ready for.
Analysis dimensions — pre-configured
Reversibility15
Upside Potential50
Downside Severity65
Downside Likelihood40
Dependency Risk45
Long-Term Alignment60
Sky bars indicate dimensions working in the decision's favor. Gray bars highlight areas of elevated risk or cost.
Run this scenario through the full structured analysis — blindspots, second-order risks, and a complete Decision Strength Index.
Run this analysis →Free · pre-loaded with this scenario · takes about 2 minutes