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Business
Accept an acquisition offer for the company I built
Long-term — 3+ years
Context
We received a serious offer to acquire the business — the number is real money and the acquirer has a credible track record. I started this to build something, not to sell. But the offer de-risks the next 10 years of my life. The team would stay on for 2 years under an earnout.
Goal
Work through whether this is the right time to sell, or whether I'm close enough to a breakout that taking the money now would be the wrong move.
Analysis dimensions — pre-configured
Reversibility10
Upside Potential65
Downside Severity40
Downside Likelihood25
Dependency Risk60
Long-Term Alignment45
Sky bars indicate dimensions working in the decision's favor. Gray bars highlight areas of elevated risk or cost.
Run this scenario through the full structured analysis — blindspots, second-order risks, and a complete Decision Strength Index.
Run this analysis →Free · pre-loaded with this scenario · takes about 2 minutes